Asymmetric information risk in FX markets

نویسندگان

چکیده

This work studies the information content of trades in world’s largest over-the-counter (OTC) market, foreign exchange (FX) market. It analyzes a novel, comprehensive order flow data set, distinguishing among different groups market participants and covering large cross-section currency pairs. We find compelling evidence heterogeneous superior across agents, time, pairs, consistent with asymmetric theory OTC fragmentation. A trading strategy based on permanent price impact, capturing risk, generates high returns even after accounting for transaction cost, other common risk factors shown FX literature.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial Economics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1879-2774', '0304-405X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.12.007